PIDA Investment Prospectus
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Energy Nigeria ECOWAS

3,050 MW Mambillla Hydroelectric Power Project

Current Stage: Structuring 62.5%
USD 5,800.00M

Total Project Cost

USD 0.00M

Investment Required

8

Stakeholders

1

Countries

Project Overview

Description

Mambilla Power project is a 3.05GW hydroelectric facility being developed on the Dongo River near Baruf, in Kakara Village of Taraba State, Nigeria. The project is being undertaken by Nigeria's Federal Ministry of Power and is expected to go into full commercial operation in 2030. When completed Mambilla will be Nigeria's biggest power plant, producing approximately 5.457 billion kWh of electricity a year.

Objectives

To increase electricity access of the country; stimulate economic growth development and enhancement of living standards of millions of Nigerians and neighbouring countries, in particular increase power export to Niger, Togo, Benin and Chad. Increase Nigeria's current electricity generation by 30% and the country's baseload electricity generation capacity, hence improving grid stability. The project will be a major source of additional power generation capacity that will make Nigeria meet its 90% electricity access rate by year 2030, as well as increase renewable energy use to 30% by year 2030.

Strategic Importance

Strategic project for Nigeria's energy security and regional power export capabilities. The project will provide substantial baseload capacity to support industrial growth.

Technical Specifications

Technology & Design

Hydroelectric facility with pumped storage capability to improve system flexibility.

Capacity & Size

3.05 GW installed capacity, 5.457 billion kWh annual generation

Technical Details

Hydroelectric power plant with 3.05 GW capacity. The project will involve construction of four dams and two underground powerhouses with 12 turbine generator units.

Development, Implementation & Financial Details

Development Timeline

Project structuring to be completed by 2024, financial close targeted for 2025.

Latest Implementation Updates

UPDATED
Project structuring 2023-2024, financial close 2025, construction 2025-2030, operation from 2030.
2025-01-20: Former President Buhari expected to testify in ICC arbitration over breaches of Mambilla contract – https://businessday.ng/news/article/timeline-of-the-6bn-mambilla-power-court-case/
2025-01-24: Key witnesses failed to appear in ICC hearings, delaying proceedings – https://www.thecable.ng/exclusive-setback-hits-sunrise-power-in-2-35bn-mambilla-arbitration-as-key-witnesses-fail-to-show-up/
2025-01-24 — ICC arbitration setback: key witnesses fail to appear, delaying proceedings; legal overhang continues to gate technical progress. [https://www.thecable.ng/exclusive-setback-hits-sunrise-power-in-2-35bn-mambilla-arbitration-as-key-witnesses-fail-to-show-up/]

Financing Structure

The project is expected to be financed through a combination of public funding and commercial loans, with potential for private sector participation.

Capital Structure

60% debt, 40% equity

Project Timeline

Start Date

January 2023

Expected Completion

December 2030

Development Timeline

Project structuring to be completed by 2024, financial close targeted for 2025.

Project Status History

Status 2020

Structuring

Status 2022

Structuring

Status 2024

Structuring

Additional Project Details

Preparation Funding Gap

USD 25.00M

Construction Timeline

Construction expected to take 5-7 years from financial close.

Legal & Financial Advisors

To be appointed

Market Analysis

Market Analysis

Nigeria faces significant electricity supply shortages, with demand growth projected at 7-8% annually.

Market Demand

Current demand significantly exceeds supply. The project will help close the supply gap and support economic growth.

Key Stakeholders

Project Sponsor

Federal Ministry of Power, Nigeria

Key Parties

Ministry of Power, Federal Republic of Nigeria; Transmission Company of Nigeria

Investors

Federal Government of Nigeria, potential international development finance institutions

Contractors & Operators

To be determined through competitive bidding process

Risk Assessment

General Risk Assessment

Key risks include financing challenges, potential construction delays, environmental impacts, and political risks.

Regulatory Risks

Nigeria has established regulatory framework for hydropower development, though some aspects may require updating.

Impact Assessment

Environmental Impact

Environmental impact assessments ongoing, with focus on mitigation of impacts on local ecosystems and downstream flow regimes.

Social Impact

Project will create approximately 50,000 jobs during construction and support economic development in the region.

Investment Opportunities

Private Sector Opportunities

The project is estimated to cost USD 5.8 billion and will generate up to 50,000 local jobs during the construction phase. A key action being worked upon is to streamline the Mambilla Hydroelectric Power Project (MHEPP) procurement process in favor of women owned SMEs.

Next Steps & Agreements

Next Steps

Complete project structuring, finalize financing arrangements, begin procurement process

Offtake Agreements

PPAs to be established with Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Company and potential regional off-takers.

Contact Information

Ministry of Power, Federal Republic of Nigeria